Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, producing another major altcoin season
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“later 2024 2025 it'll probably come back down again and we'll have you know another very significant All Season”
Bitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, producing another major altcoin season
- Made on
- 2023-01-21
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-31
During late 2024 through 2025, Bitcoin dominance falls sharply, accompanied by a major altcoin-outperformance ('alt season') period.
Deadline (2025-12-31) has passed. The criterion required BOTH a sharp fall in BTC dominance AND a major alt-outperformance season during late 2024–2025; instead dominance trended upward (avg ~51.9%→~59.3%) and no sustained major altseason occurred. Prediction not borne out. Minor caveat noted for the scoring stage: some analysts flagged an early potential dominance breakdown in Aug–late 2025, but this did not amount to the 'major altcoin season' specified within the window.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin dominance ROSE rather than fell sharply across the predicted window: annual-average BTC dominance was ~45.6% (2023), ~51.9% (2024), and ~59.3% (2025). Dominance climbed for a third consecutive year and held elevated levels throughout late 2024 and 2025 — the opposite of the 'sharp fall' predicted.
No sustained major altcoin season materialized in late 2024–2025. The brief altseason attempt at the end of 2024 ended, and altseason remained largely dormant into year-end 2025 with BTC dominance still in the high-50s/low-60s%; only tentative early-rotation signals (a possible dominance breakdown) appeared in mid/late 2025, not the major alt season claimed.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, prod…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-01-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources