Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin will not set a new all-time high during 2023.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“we're likely not breaking any new highs this year okay normally that comes you know the following year or the year after that if history is any indication”
Bitcoin will not set a new all-time high during 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-01-29
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's price does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000, Nov 2021) at any point during calendar 2023.
Prior ATH ~$69k (Nov 10, 2021) was never exceeded during 2023; 2023 peak ~$44.7k. The next new ATH came March 2024. Prediction condition (no new ATH in 2023) held.
Sources
Bitcoin: Comparing the Cycles
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest 2023 price was ~$44,700 (December 2023), far below the prior all-time high of ~$69,000 set November 10, 2021. BTC did not exceed its prior ATH at any point in calendar 2023.
Bitcoin only surpassed its Nov-2021 record on March 5, 2024 (~$68,800–$69,200, briefly), driven by spot-ETF inflows — i.e., the first new ATH occurred in 2024, not 2023.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not set a new all-time high during 2023.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-01-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources