Full record

Hiteconomy

The FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its December 2022 meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.5%

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

I think tomorrow we'll see a 50 basis point rate hike

The FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its December 2022 meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.5%

Made on
2022-12-13
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.27

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2022-12-14

The FOMC's 2022-12-14 decision is a 50bps hike raising the upper-bound rate to 4.50%.

Matches the criterion exactly: 2022-12-14 decision, 50bps hike, upper bound raised to 4.50%. Primary Fed press release.

Sources

  • Inflation Below Consensus | Effect on Risk Assets

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • FOMC statement dated 2022-12-14 states the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent — a 50bps hike lifting the upper bound to exactly 4.50%.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.27
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its Dec…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2022-12-13

How this profile was built

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