Prediction record
HiteconomyThe FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its December 2022 meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.5%
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I think tomorrow we'll see a 50 basis point rate hike”
The FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its December 2022 meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.5%
- Made on
- 2022-12-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-14
The FOMC's 2022-12-14 decision is a 50bps hike raising the upper-bound rate to 4.50%.
Matches the criterion exactly: 2022-12-14 decision, 50bps hike, upper bound raised to 4.50%. Primary Fed press release.
Sources
Inflation Below Consensus | Effect on Risk Assets
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
FOMC statement dated 2022-12-14 states the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent — a 50bps hike lifting the upper bound to exactly 4.50%.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The FOMC will deliver a 50 basis-point rate hike at its Dec…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-12-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources