Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023 (no rate cut in 2022).
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“I don't personally think they're going to stop you know start cutting rates until next year”
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023 (no rate cut in 2022).
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
The Fed does not cut the federal funds rate at any point during calendar 2022.
Criterion (no rate cut at any point during calendar 2022) is met: all seven 2022 FOMC actions were hikes; zero cuts. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Every FOMC meeting in calendar 2022 was a rate INCREASE, not a cut: Mar 16 (+25bp to 0.25–0.50%), May 4 (+50bp to 0.75–1.00%), Jun 15 (+75bp to 1.50–1.75%), Jul 27 (+75bp to 2.25–2.50%), Sep 21 (+75bp to 3.00–3.25%), Nov 2 (+75bp to 3.75–4.00%), Dec 14 (+50bp to 4.25–4.50%). The Fed did not cut the federal funds rate at any point in 2022.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources