Prediction record
HiteconomyUS inflation will begin coming back down during 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“as we get out into 2023. okay I think that it'll finally start to come back down”
US inflation will begin coming back down during 2023
- Made on
- 2022-10-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.02
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Headline/core CPI year-over-year prints a sustained decline from its late-2022 peak at some point during calendar 2023.
Primary source: BLS. Criterion (sustained YoY decline from late-2022 peak at some point during 2023) is clearly met by official data. Nuance for the later scoring stage: the disinflation actually began in mid-2022, so 'begin coming back down DURING 2023' is arguably imprecise about timing, but a sustained decline was in fact ongoing throughout 2023 as written in the criterion. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Inflation Coming In Hot
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
US headline CPI YoY peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, then declined steadily through 2023, printing 3.0% for the 12 months ended June 2023 (the smallest 12-month increase since March 2021) and remaining in the low-3% range (~3.1-3.4%) through year-end. A sustained decline from the late-2022 peak occurred throughout calendar 2023, satisfying the written criterion.
BLS CPI historical series confirming the monthly YoY trajectory declining across 2023 from the 2022 peak.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+3.02- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.02
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
US inflation will begin coming back down during 2023- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources