Prediction record
HiteconomyThe federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
VideoPrimary sourceeconomy
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I do think they will be making it up to the four to five percent range before the end of this year”
The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-31
The upper-bound federal funds rate is within the 4.00%–5.00% range as of 2022-12-31.
Criterion (upper bound within 4.00%–5.00% as of 2022-12-31) is met: actual 4.50%. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources