Full record
HiteconomyThe federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“I do think they will be making it up to the four to five percent range before the end of this year”
The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
The upper-bound federal funds rate is within the 4.00%–5.00% range as of 2022-12-31.
Criterion (upper bound within 4.00%–5.00% as of 2022-12-31) is met: actual 4.50%. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources