Full record

Hiteconomy

The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

I do think they will be making it up to the four to five percent range before the end of this year

The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end of 2022.

Made on
2022-10-07
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.27

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2022-12-31

The upper-bound federal funds rate is within the 4.00%–5.00% range as of 2022-12-31.

Criterion (upper bound within 4.00%–5.00% as of 2022-12-31) is met: actual 4.50%. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • On Dec 14, 2022 the FOMC set the target range at 4.25%–4.50%; the upper bound of 4.50% held through year-end. As of 2022-12-31 the upper-bound federal funds rate was 4.50%, which is within the 4.00%–5.00% range.

    EvidenceArchive

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.27
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The federal funds rate will reach the 4–5% range by the end…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2022-10-07

How this profile was built

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