Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at the November 2022 meeting.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“we'll likely see another 75 basis point rate hike in November”
The Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at the November 2022 meeting.
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-11-02
The Fed raises rates by 75bps at the November 2022 FOMC meeting.
Directly on-criterion: the Fed hiked 75bps at the November 1-2, 2022 FOMC meeting. Prediction fully corroborated by the primary Federal Reserve press release.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Official FOMC statement of Nov 2, 2022: the Committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3-3/4 to 4 percent — a 75 basis point increase, matching the November 2022 meeting criterion exactly.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources