Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at the November 2022 meeting.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“we'll likely see another 75 basis point rate hike in November”
The Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at the November 2022 meeting.
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-11-02
The Fed raises rates by 75bps at the November 2022 FOMC meeting.
Directly on-criterion: the Fed hiked 75bps at the November 1-2, 2022 FOMC meeting. Prediction fully corroborated by the primary Federal Reserve press release.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Official FOMC statement of Nov 2, 2022: the Committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3-3/4 to 4 percent — a 75 basis point increase, matching the November 2022 meeting criterion exactly.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate by 75…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources