Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance will break to the upside over the short-to-medium term
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I think in the short to medium term it's much more likely that it breaks to the upside”
Bitcoin dominance will break to the upside over the short-to-medium term
- Made on
- 2022-10-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-10-14
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) rises above its 2022-10-14 level within roughly twelve months.
Written criterion — BTC.D rises above its 2022-10-14 level (~40%) within roughly twelve months — was satisfied. Dominance rose materially above the ~40% starting level during 2023 and reached the ~50% area by around the 2023-10-14 horizon end. Data points are from aggregators (CoinGecko/Statista); exact 2022-10-14 and 2023-10-14 daily values approximate, but the direction and magnitude of the move leave no ambiguity. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance Pushes Higher
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance averaged ~39.3% in 2022 (roughly 38–40% around mid-October 2022) and rose to an annual average of 45.6% in 2023, climbing into the 50%+ range by late 2023 — a clear break to the upside well within the ~12-month horizon.
Statista/CoinGecko historical series showing BTC dominance rising from ~40% in late 2022 to above 50% during 2023, resuming a multi-year uptrend (45.6% in 2023 → higher thereafter).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance will break to the upside over the short-t…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources