Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will not continue 75-basis-point rate hikes deep into 2023.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I don't think they're going to be able to continue extremely high rate hikes well into 2023.”
The Federal Reserve will not continue 75-basis-point rate hikes deep into 2023.
- Made on
- 2022-09-28
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-06-30
The Fed does not implement 75bps hikes past early/mid 2023.
Criterion (no 75bps hikes past early/mid 2023) satisfied: the Fed did not implement any 75bps hike in 2023 at all. Window closes 2023-06-30 with the condition met.
Sources
Federal Reserve: Upcoming Rate Hikes
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The final 75bps hike of the cycle was November 2022; December 2022 stepped down to 50bps. All 2023 hikes were 25bps: Feb 1, Mar 22, and May 3, 2023 (to 5.00-5.25%). No 75bps hike occurred at any point in 2023.
Reporting confirms the Fed did three consecutive 25bps hikes in Feb/Mar/May 2023, held in June, then a final 25bps in July 2023 — no 75bps increments in 2023.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Federal Reserve will not continue 75-basis-point rate h…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-09-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources