Full record
HittechThe Ethereum Merge (proof-of-work to proof-of-stake) occurs in September 2022
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“the merge is something we've talked about for a long time it is a probably the most widely anticipated event in crypto but it's the transition of ethereum from proof of work to proof of stake alright so it's a pretty big event and theoretically it's going to happen next month”
The Ethereum Merge (proof-of-work to proof-of-stake) occurs in September 2022
- Made on
- 2022-08-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-09-15
Ethereum mainnet completes the Merge to proof-of-stake on or before 2022-09-30.
Written criterion ('Ethereum mainnet completes the Merge to proof-of-stake on or before 2022-09-30') is directly and unambiguously satisfied on 2022-09-15.
Sources
Ethereum: Rallying Into The Merge
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Ethereum mainnet completed The Merge — the transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake — on 2022-09-15 (~06:43 UTC / 02:43 ET), permanently deprecating proof-of-work. This is on or before the 2022-09-30 criterion date.
Independent contemporaneous confirmation of the 2022-09-15 completion of the Merge to proof-of-stake.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Ethereum Merge (proof-of-work to proof-of-stake) occurs…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-08-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources