Prediction record

Missmarkets

The ETH/BTC ratio will depreciate further through the end of 2022

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Missmarkets

The Ether Bitcoin valuation will likely continue to head down probably off and on for the rest of the year

The ETH/BTC ratio will depreciate further through the end of 2022

Made on
2022-07-12
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-12-31

The ETH/BTC exchange ratio is lower on 2022-12-31 than its 2022-07-12 level.

The ETH/BTC ratio was HIGHER on 2022-12-31 (approximately 0.0722) than on 2022-07-12 (approximately 0.0537), a rise of roughly 34% driven largely by the September 2022 Ethereum Merge (ratio peaked near 0.084 in early Sep before easing). The written criterion (ratio lower on 2022-12-31) is therefore NOT met. Direction is unambiguous across independent sources; no outcome value assigned here.

Sources

  • Ethereum: Outlook of the ETH/BTC Valuation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • CoinMarketCap historical snapshot 2022-07-12: BTC $19,323.91, ETH $1,038.19 -> ETH/BTC ratio approximately 0.0537.

    Evidence

  • CoinMarketCap historical snapshot 2022-12-31: BTC $16,572.40, ETH $1,197.28 -> ETH/BTC ratio approximately 0.0722.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

-0.56
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

The ETH/BTC ratio will depreciate further through the end o…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-07-12

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Evidence firstMethodology