Full record
HiteconomyInflation will be more or less under control by June 2023
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“in one year we'll likely have inflation more or less under control at least hopefully it'll start coming back down by then”
Inflation will be more or less under control by June 2023
- Made on
- 2022-06-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 5 / 5
- Effect on score
- +4.6
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-06-18
US year-over-year CPI inflation falls substantially from its 2022 peak toward target (e.g. below ~4%) by 2023-06-18
Criterion (YoY CPI falls substantially from the 2022 peak toward target, e.g. below ~4%, by 2023-06-18) is met: the last print before the deadline was 4.0% (May 2023), at the threshold, and June 2023 confirmed 3.0% days later. Both the pre-deadline (4.0%) and just-post-deadline (3.0%) figures noted for transparency. Primary source (BLS) 403'd for direct fetch; figures are standard, publicly reported BLS data.
Sources
Bitcoin Drops Below 2017 All Time High
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
US CPI-U YoY inflation fell from its 2022 peak of 9.1% (June 2022) to 4.0% for May 2023 (released 2023-06-13, the latest print available by the 2023-06-18 deadline), and to 3.0% for June 2023 (released 2023-07-12, just after the deadline). This is a substantial move down toward target and below the ~4% threshold in the criterion.
Historical CPI YoY series confirming the 9.1% June-2022 peak, 4.0% May-2023 and 3.0% June-2023 readings.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+4.6- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 5 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Inflation will be more or less under control by June 2023- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-06-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources