Prediction record

Misscrypto

Ethereum will see continued price downside for another three to four months (through ~late October 2022)

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Misscrypto

you're potentially talking about another 100 days or or maybe even 120 days or something. Three to four months of of continued price action to the downside

Ethereum will see continued price downside for another three to four months (through ~late October 2022)

Made on
2022-06-29
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+1.18

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-10-31

ETH continues to trend down and/or prints new lows over the ~3–4 months following 2022-06-29

Written criterion (ETH continues to trend down and/or prints new lows over ~3–4 months after 2022-06-29) did NOT materialize: ETH was net HIGHER at late-Oct 2022 (~$1,500) than at the prediction date (~$1,050), and its lowest point in the window ($1,209 on Oct 13) stayed above the pre-existing June cycle low. Prediction ran counter to actual price action. Outcome value/scoring deferred.

Sources

  • Ethereum: Comparing The Bear Markets

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Contrary to the predicted continued downside, ETH RALLIED after 2022-06-29 (~$1,050–$1,100): it roughly doubled to ~$2,000 by mid-August 2022 on Ethereum Merge optimism.

    Evidence

  • Post-Merge (Sep 15, 2022) ETH fell to a LOCAL low of $1,209.28 on Oct 13, 2022 — still well ABOVE the June 18, 2022 cycle low (~$880–$900) — then recovered above $1,500 by Oct 25, 2022. No new lows were printed in the 3–4 month window.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Claim subject is a specific cryptocurrency (ETH) price trajectory; 'crypto' is the more central controlled-vocabulary tag than the generic 'markets'.

Score contribution

+1.18
Confidence
55%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+1.18

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum will see continued price downside for another thre…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-06-29

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Evidence firstMethodology