Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will find its market-cycle bottom before the April 2024 halving
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“during that period i imagine that bitcoin will find a market cycle bottom”
Bitcoin will find its market-cycle bottom before the April 2024 halving
- Made on
- 2022-06-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-04-30
Bitcoin's lowest closing price of the cycle occurs on or before the 2024 halving (~2024-04-30)
Criterion (Bitcoin's lowest closing price of the cycle occurs on or before the ~2024-04-30 halving) is satisfied: the low was ~2022-11-21 and was never undercut before the halving. resolved_on set to the deadline, the point at which the halving passed confirming no lower low.
Sources
Bitcoin Drops Below 2017 All Time High
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's cycle low occurred ~2022-11-21 during the FTX collapse (closing low ~$15,476; intraday ~$15,480-15,590), its lowest level in two years. No lower price occurred afterward: by the ~April 2024 halving BTC was trading above $60,000, so the ~Nov-2022 low was the confirmed cycle bottom, before the halving.
FTX bankruptcy timeline (Nov 2022) corroborating the market-wide crypto low that coincided with Bitcoin's cycle bottom.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will find its market-cycle bottom before the April…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-06-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources