Full record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC exchange ratio will decline (ETH underperforms BTC) in the second half of 2022.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“i do think there's a good chance ethan is going to bleed against bitcoin in the second half of this year”
The ETH/BTC exchange ratio will decline (ETH underperforms BTC) in the second half of 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-05-07
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
The ETH/BTC ratio is net lower at 2022-12-31 than at the start of H2 2022.
Criterion is net level at 2022-12-31 vs start of H2 2022. Ratio was net higher (0.055 → 0.072), so the H2 decline prediction was not borne out. (Measured from the Sept peak it did fall into year-end, but that is not the written criterion.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Tips For Navigating The Bear Market
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ETH/BTC (Binance ETHBTC daily close) at the start of H2 2022 was 0.05496 (2022-07-01) and 0.07229 at 2022-12-31 — net HIGHER by ~31%, i.e. ETH outperformed BTC across H2, opposite the predicted decline.
Intra-H2 path: ratio rose to a ~0.082-0.085 peak around the Sept 15 Merge, dipped to ~0.069 during the Nov FTX collapse, and ended the year at ~0.072 — still well above the July-1 starting level.
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC is a cryptocurrency price/level call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The ETH/BTC exchange ratio will decline (ETH underperforms…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources