Prediction record
HitmarketsThe US Dollar Index will extend its rally above its March-2020 (~103) and late-2016 (~103.8) highs.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“the dollar is likely going to continue and extend its rally past the march 2020 and and late 2016 highs”
The US Dollar Index will extend its rally above its March-2020 (~103) and late-2016 (~103.8) highs.
- Made on
- 2022-05-05
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-09-27
DXY trades above its March-2020 high (~103) and late-2016 high (~103.8) at some point within the window.
Criterion ('trades above ~103 and ~103.8 at some point within the window') is unambiguously satisfied — DXY exceeded both thresholds in 2022, peaking at 114.78. resolved_on set to the documented 20-year-high date (2022-09-27); the thresholds were in fact first crossed earlier in mid-2022, so this date is conservative. No outcome value (o) assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: A Date With Destiny
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
DXY reached a 20-year peak of 114.78 on 2022-09-27, far above both the ~103 March-2020 high and the ~103.8 late-2016 high; it had already exceeded those levels by mid-2022 and closed 2022 at 103.52. Both prior highs were surpassed well within the 2022-05-05 to 2025-05-05 window.
Historical DXY series confirming the 2022 rally from ~89 (Jan 2021) to ~114 (Sep 2022), the fastest appreciation since the early-1980s Volcker era.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+3.68- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The US Dollar Index will extend its rally above its March-2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources