Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin touches its 200-week moving average
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we should go to the 200-week moving average”
Bitcoin touches its 200-week moving average
- Made on
- 2022-05-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-06-13
BTC price touches its 200-week moving average at some point within the window.
Criterion is a one-touch condition; BTC not only touched but decisively broke below its 200-week MA in June 2022 and again after the Nov 2022 FTX collapse, well within the window. Resolved affirmatively.
Sources
Bitcoin: Expanded Flat Corrections
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin broke below its 200-week moving average in the second week of June 2022: it closed around $20,552 while the 200-week MA sat near $22,300 (BTC ~0.68x the 200W MA), the first close below the line since the March 2020 COVID crash. Trading below the line requires touching/crossing it, satisfying the criterion within the 2022-05-18 to 2025-05-18 window.
Bitcoin fell further below the 200-week moving average after the November 2022 FTX collapse, reaching a low near $16,500 (~0.68x the 200W MA), and remained below the line for roughly 16 months (June 2022 to October 2023) before reclaiming it — confirming the price touched/crossed the 200-week MA during the window.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price/level claim → crypto primary per tag dictionary; markets kept secondary.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin touches its 200-week moving average- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources