Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin falls to or below $20,000 (a ~75% drop from its cycle peak)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“a 75 drop gets you sub 20k”
Bitcoin falls to or below $20,000 (a ~75% drop from its cycle peak)
- Made on
- 2022-05-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-06-18
BTC trades at or below $20,000 at some point within the window.
First sub-$20k print on 2022-06-18; further low of ~$17,600. Well inside the 2022-05-20→2025-05-20 window.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin fell below $20,000 for the first time since late 2020 on 2022-06-18, dropping as much as ~9-10% to under $18,600. Criterion (BTC at/below $20,000 within window) satisfied.
Cointelegraph: BTC set a June 2022 macro low under $17,600, confirming trading at/below $20,000 within the window.
Corrections
- tags: TAG_DICTIONARY: BTC price/level bet is 'crypto' (primary) + 'markets' (secondary); enforced for consistency with the other BTC-price records in this set.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin falls to or below $20,000 (a ~75% drop from its cyc…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources