Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin revisits the summer-2021 lows (~$29,000–$30,000) within roughly the coming year
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin will be revisiting the summer lows relatively soon”
Bitcoin revisits the summer-2021 lows (~$29,000–$30,000) within roughly the coming year
- Made on
- 2022-05-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-05-12
BTC trades down to ≤$30,000 (touching the summer-2021 low zone) at some point within ~12 months.
Criterion (BTC trades ≤$30,000 at some point within ~12 months) was met almost immediately — first sub-$30k print on 2022-05-12, used for resolved_on. BTC overshot the target zone substantially (to the teens), which is consistent with 'revisiting the summer-2021 lows.' No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Finding A Local Bottom
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC broke the $30,000 support and wicked to ~$25,400 on 2022-05-12 during the Terra/LUNA collapse — well below $30k — within days of the 2022-05-08 prediction. It then fell far further, to a cycle low of ~$17,600 on 2022-06-18. BTC traded at or below $30k continuously through the second half of 2022, deep inside/below the ~$29k-$30k summer-2021 low zone.
June 2022 marked the cycle low near $17,600; BTC was far under $30k throughout, confirming it revisited (and blew past) the summer-2021 ~$29k-$30k lows well within the ~12-month window (deadline 2023-05-08).
Corrections
- tags: TAG_DICTIONARY: BTC price bet is 'crypto' (primary) + 'markets' (secondary).
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin revisits the summer-2021 lows (~$29,000–$30,000) wi…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources