Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin does not rally back to $100,000 within roughly two months of May 2022
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin just rallies back up to 100k in a couple of months um it's not a very likely scenario”
Bitcoin does not rally back to $100,000 within roughly two months of May 2022
- Made on
- 2022-05-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-07-16
BTC does NOT reach $100,000 at any point before ~2022-07-14.
Negative prediction over a short window; BTC's all-time high was ~$69k (Nov 2021) and prices were collapsing, so $100k before 2022-07-14 was never remotely in play. Window fully elapsed → resolved.
Sources
Bitcoin: Whale Games
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Across mid-May to mid-July 2022 BTC traded roughly $17,600–$31,000 (fell below $20k on 2022-06-18, macro low ~$17,600), never approaching $100,000. The 'does NOT reach $100k before ~2022-07-14' criterion held.
CoinDesk June 2022 recap confirms BTC was in the high-teens-to-low-$30k range through the period, nowhere near $100k.
Corrections
- Date: Verbatim is in IwZJxfCdE74 (uploaded 2022-05-16), not the cited AVDCCW2Gqqw (2022-05-14) which lacks the passage.
- horizon deadline: 'couple of months' (+2mo) anchored to corrected made_on 2022-05-16.
- resolution resolved on: Window end shifts with corrected made_on/deadline.
- tags: TAG_DICTIONARY: BTC price claim is 'crypto' (primary) + 'markets' (secondary); enforced for consistency.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin does not rally back to $100,000 within roughly two…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources