Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000) during calendar year 2022
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i don't think it's going to happen in 2022”
Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000) during calendar year 2022
- Made on
- 2022-05-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
BTC spot price does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000) at any point in calendar year 2022.
Unambiguous. Prior ATH ~$68,990 (2021-11-10); BTC's 2022 trajectory was a steady decline that at no point approached $69k. resolved_on set to the end of the measurement window (2022-12-31) since the criterion is 'no exceedance at any point in the year.' No outcome value assigned here.
Sources
Bitcoin: Finding A Local Bottom
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's prior all-time high (~$68,990) was set on 2021-11-10. During all of calendar year 2022 BTC never revisited that level: its 2022 high was in early January (~$47,700) and it declined for the rest of the year, bottoming at ~$15,479 in November 2022. No new ATH occurred in 2022. Criterion (BTC does not exceed ~$69,000 at any point in 2022) is met.
Investing News: BTC fell ~78% from its US$69,000 Nov-2021 ATH to US$15,476 in Nov 2022; the 2021 peak was the standing ATH throughout 2022.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000)…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources