Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000) during calendar year 2022

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

i don't think it's going to happen in 2022

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000) during calendar year 2022

Made on
2022-05-08
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-12-31

BTC spot price does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000) at any point in calendar year 2022.

Unambiguous. Prior ATH ~$68,990 (2021-11-10); BTC's 2022 trajectory was a steady decline that at no point approached $69k. resolved_on set to the end of the measurement window (2022-12-31) since the criterion is 'no exceedance at any point in the year.' No outcome value assigned here.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Finding A Local Bottom

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's prior all-time high (~$68,990) was set on 2021-11-10. During all of calendar year 2022 BTC never revisited that level: its 2022 high was in early January (~$47,700) and it declined for the rest of the year, bottoming at ~$15,479 in November 2022. No new ATH occurred in 2022. Criterion (BTC does not exceed ~$69,000 at any point in 2022) is met.

    Evidence

  • Investing News: BTC fell ~78% from its US$69,000 Nov-2021 ATH to US$15,476 in Nov 2022; the 2021 peak was the standing ATH throughout 2022.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high (above ~$69,000)…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-05-08

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodology