Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance rises above 55% by the end of summer 2022
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“My guess is by the end of the summer this could easily be north of 55 percent.”
Bitcoin dominance rises above 55% by the end of summer 2022
- Made on
- 2022-05-19
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-09-22
Bitcoin dominance rises above 55% by 2022-09-22.
Threshold criterion (>55% by 2022-09-22) is unambiguous and clearly unmet — dominance peaked near 45% and was ~39% at the deadline. Directionally the opposite of the prediction. No conflicting credible evidence found.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance | Altcoins Remain High Risk
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance printed a double bottom at ~39% in both January 2022 and September 2022, and started 2022 at 37.9% / ended at 38.6%. Its highest 2022 reading came only to ~45% right after the May Terra/LUNA collapse — it never approached, let alone exceeded, 55% at any point during summer 2022 or by the 2022-09-22 deadline.
Statista/CoinGecko dominance series confirm BTC.D traded in the high-30s%/low-40s% throughout summer 2022, dipping to ~36% around the November FTX event before rising — no reading at or above 55% in the window.
Corrections
- tags: Subject is Bitcoin dominance (a crypto market-share/level) → 'crypto', consistent with the other BTC-dominance records in this set.
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises above 55% by the end of summer 2022- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources