Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin falls below $29,000–$30,000, breaking the summer-2021 lows
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“there's a fairly good chance we end up going below 30k and going below the summer lows”
Bitcoin falls below $29,000–$30,000, breaking the summer-2021 lows
- Made on
- 2022-05-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-06-13
BTC trades below $29,000 (breaking the summer-2021 lows) at some point within the window.
Summer-2021 low was ~$29,300 (Jul 2021). BTC broke below $29k on 2022-06-13 and continued to a ~$17,600 macro low later that month, comfortably inside the 2022-05-09→2025-05-09 window.
Sources
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
On 2022-06-13, BTC fell as much as ~16-17% to roughly $21,910–$22,603 (18-month low) after Celsius froze withdrawals — decisively below $29,000 and below the summer-2021 lows (~$29,000–$30,000). Criterion (BTC trades below $29,000 within window) satisfied.
CoinDesk June 2022 wrap: Bitcoin slumped ~37.3% in June 2022 (biggest monthly drop in 11 years), collapsing well below the prior summer's lows.
Corrections
- Date: Verbatim is in D10xWiu157A (uploaded 2022-05-07), not the cited b8o0qkX1pgU.
- horizon deadline: Default 36-month price horizon anchored to corrected made_on 2022-05-07.
- tags: TAG_DICTIONARY: BTC price/level bet is 'crypto' (primary) + 'markets' (secondary); enforced for consistency with the other BTC-price records in this set.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin falls below $29,000–$30,000, breaking the summer-20…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources