Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin reaches $100,000 during 2023

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

the highest probability for me for bitcoin to go to 100k would be 2023

Bitcoin reaches $100,000 during 2023

Made on
2022-05-07
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

BTC spot price reaches $100,000 at some point during calendar year 2023.

Window closed 2023-12-31 with BTC's yearly high in the low-$40,000s. The predicted event ($100k in 2023) did not happen; resolvable as the window fully elapsed. Outcome value (correct/incorrect) is a later stage.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Market Cycle Theory (No Lengthening Cycles)

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's 2023 high was ~$44,000–$44,700 on 2023-12-05; it closed 2023 near $42,265. BTC never reached $100,000 at any point during calendar year 2023 — the criterion event did NOT occur.

    Evidence

  • Bitbo/CoinDesk 2023 price records show the 2023 peak in the low-$40,000s (first time above $38.8k in over a year on 2023-12-01), far below $100,000.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: TAG_DICTIONARY: BTC price target is 'crypto' (primary) + 'markets' (secondary); enforced for consistency with the other BTC-price records in this set.

Score contribution

+0.46
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin reaches $100,000 during 2023
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-05-07

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodology