Full record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin does not reach $500,000 in 2022.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

we're likely not going to 500k in 2022 either

Bitcoin does not reach $500,000 in 2022.

Made on
2022-04-17
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.84

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2022-12-31

Bitcoin's USD price does not reach $500,000 at any point in calendar year 2022.

2022 yearly high ~$48k, more than 10x below $500k. Never reached. Resolved.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin's highest price in all of calendar year 2022 was ~$47,300–$48,100 (intra-year high ~$47,315 on Mar 29, 2022; some data series cite ~$48,127). It closed the year near $16,500 and never came within an order of magnitude of $500,000. Criterion (does NOT reach $500k in 2022) held.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Cryptocurrency price/level call → crypto primary, markets secondary (tag dictionary). Was tagged markets-only.

Effect on the score

+1.84
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin does not reach $500,000 in 2022.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2022-04-17

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

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