Full record
HitmarketsGold will continue to increase in price over the next several years
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“gold is is more likely going to continue to increase over the next several years”
Gold will continue to increase in price over the next several years
- Made on
- 2022-03-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-03-13
Spot gold's price in ~March 2025 exceeds its ~March 2022 level (~$1,990).
Criterion (March-2025 spot gold > ~March-2022 ~$1,990) is met with a large margin (~$3,000 vs ~$1,990). Direction of the 'several years' claim is unambiguously satisfied; gold rose materially over the window. Exact daily fixes should be confirmed against LBMA/World Gold Council series at final scoring, but the ~50% gain is not close to the threshold.
Sources
Silver Breakout?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Spot gold at the ~March 2022 utterance baseline was ~$1,985-1,990/oz (gold was trading near $1,990 in mid-March 2022, having spiked above $2,000 early in the month on the Russia-Ukraine invasion). This matches the criterion's stated ~$1,990 baseline.
By the ~March 2025 evaluation window, spot gold hit an all-time high of $3,004.71/oz on 2025-03-14 amid tariff uncertainty, and the 2025 spot price averaged well above $3,000/oz. Gold in ~March 2025 (~$2,900-3,000) far exceeded its ~March 2022 (~$1,990) level — roughly +50%.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Gold will continue to increase in price over the next sever…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources