Full record
MisscryptoTotal crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion in 2023
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“the asset class has a really good shot of hitting a market capitalization of approximately 10 trillion in 2023”
Total crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion in 2023
- Made on
- 2022-03-01
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion at any point on or before 2023-12-31.
Window (deadline 2023-12-31) fully elapsed. Criterion is 'reaches ~$10T at any point on or before 2023-12-31.' 2023 high of ~$1.72T falls far short.
Sources
Bitcoin: Lengthening Cycles And Diminishing Returns
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market cap rose from $829B to $1.72T over 2023 (+108%); its 2023 peak was ~$1.72T at year-end, driven by spot-BTC-ETF anticipation (Q4 rose $1.1T→$1.6T). This is ~5.8x below the ~$10T criterion; the market never approached $10T at any point in 2023.
The crypto market's all-time-high total cap was only ~$3T (Nov 2021) and did not reach the ~$4T region until Oct 2025, corroborating that $10T was not touched in the 2023 window.
Corrections
- Date: Verbatim absent from cited WI03C0a0XD4 (2022-02-28); appears only in n6zTF8dWZN0, uploaded 2022-03-01.
- tags: 'crypto' (controlled-dictionary tag) is the specific subject of a total-crypto-market-cap claim.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Total crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $1…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources