Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin makes at least one attempt to break back above its bull-market support band within three to six months
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“often times what we've seen is that you'll at least see a an attempt within a few months okay three to six months you'll at least see an attempt to break above it”
Bitcoin makes at least one attempt to break back above its bull-market support band within three to six months
- Made on
- 2022-02-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-03-28
BTC price rallies to touch or exceed its bull-market support band (20-week SMA / 21-week EMA) at least once between 2022-02-15 and 2022-08-15.
Criterion is 'at least one attempt to touch or exceed the band' - satisfied by the late-March 2022 tag to ~$48k. Band value (~$46-47k) is derived from the 20w SMA/21w EMA of BTC over Nov 2021-Mar 2022, not read from an official feed; margin between the ~$48k print and the band is comfortable, so resolution is not sensitive to a few-hundred-dollar band uncertainty.
Sources
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band Update
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC rallied to an intraday high of $48,086.84 on 2022-03-28 (daily close ~$47,691), well inside the Feb 15 - Aug 15 window. The bull-market support band (20-week SMA / 21-week EMA) sat in the ~$46k-47k area at that time, so this rally touched and briefly exceeded the band before being rejected - i.e. BTC did make at least one attempt to break back above the band.
Context on the indicator (green 20w SMA / red 21w EMA) and the widely-documented Jan-May 2022 episode of BTC repeatedly interacting with and being rejected at the band before breaking down in May, confirming BTC was tagging the band during this window.
Corrections
- tags: Subject is Bitcoin; 'crypto' is the precise controlled-dictionary tag, consistent with the sibling reaccumulation record.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin makes at least one attempt to break back above its…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-02-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources