Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i would also argue that going to 100k in 2022 at this point while it certainly could happen later this year um i don't think of it as the as the most likely scenario”
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022
- Made on
- 2022-02-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
Bitcoin fails to reach $100,000 at any point on or before 2022-12-31.
Criterion (BTC fails to reach $100,000 on or before 2022-12-31) is satisfied — BTC's 2022 peak (~$48k) was far below $100k. resolved_on set to window close 2022-12-31. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: A Date With Destiny
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin never reached $100,000 in 2022. Its 2022 high was roughly $48,000 (late March 2022); it fell through the year to a ~$15,480 low on Nov 22, 2022 and closed 2022 near $16,500 — never near $100k.
Bitcoin's first-ever move above $100,000 occurred in December 2024, confirming $100k was not reached at any point on or before 2022-12-31.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-02-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources