Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin reaches $100,000–$200,000 by end of 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“it should be able to go to 100 to 200k by 2023”
Bitcoin reaches $100,000–$200,000 by end of 2023
- Made on
- 2022-02-26
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin price reaches at least $100,000 at any point on or before 2023-12-31.
The written criterion (BTC reaches ≥$100,000 on or before 2023-12-31) did NOT occur. Window is fully elapsed and outcome is determinate, so status=resolved (the predicted event failed to occur). resolved_on set to window close 2023-12-31. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Lengthening Cycles And Diminishing Returns
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin did not reach $100,000 at any point in 2023. Its 2023 high was in the low-to-mid $40,000s (≈$42,800 on Dec 20, 2023); it peaked around $44k in late December 2023, never approaching $100k.
Bitcoin first exceeded $100,000 only in December 2024 and set a record ~$109,356 on Jan 20, 2025 — confirming the $100k level was never reached on or before 2023-12-31.
Corrections
- Date: Actual utterance date is the XyHBMUpGefI upload (2022-02-26); the 2022-02-28 video does not contain the statement. Horizon deadline (2023-12-31) unaffected.
- tags: Cryptocurrency price bet → crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches $100,000–$200,000 by end of 2023- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-02-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources