Full record
HitcryptoEthereum does NOT sustain a flip of Bitcoin's market cap during the 2021 cycle.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“the chances that it actually flips it in a sustained way like meaning like it it just continues to go up and and not pull back this cycle i think are relatively low however is there a chance that for a moment in time at the very least ethereum could flip it i would say the probability is is non-negligible”
Ethereum does NOT sustain a flip of Bitcoin's market cap during the 2021 cycle.
- Made on
- 2021-05-11
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
ETH's market cap does not exceed BTC's on a sustained basis (≥7 consecutive days) at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
ETH's market cap topped out near 53% of BTC's in 2021; it never crossed 100%, so the 'no sustained flip for ≥7 consecutive days' criterion holds trivially. Value (o) not assigned.
Sources
Ethereum: The Flippening?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ETH's market cap reached roughly 50% of BTC's in May 2021 and peaked around 53% in November 2021, but never exceeded Bitcoin's market cap during the 2021 cycle — there was no 'flippening,' let alone a sustained (≥7-day) one.
The flippening — ETH surpassing BTC in market cap — has never occurred; ETH's cap remained a fraction of BTC's throughout 2021 and after.
Corrections
- tags: 'ETH flips BTC' is a cryptocurrency dominance/level call — the dictionary lists this exact case under 'crypto' (primary); 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum does NOT sustain a flip of Bitcoin's market cap du…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources