Full record
MisscryptoTotal crypto market cap reaches approximately $10 trillion this market cycle.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“i think there's a good chance we will make it to approximately 10 trillion dollar market capitalization this market cycle plus or minus a few trillion”
Total crypto market cap reaches approximately $10 trillion this market cycle.
- Made on
- 2021-05-01
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.62
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
Total crypto market capitalization reaches ~$10 trillion (±few trillion) at some point within the cycle window.
Criterion (~$10T ± few trillion) NOT satisfied — cycle peak ~$3T is roughly one-third of the target and below the lower edge of any reasonable ±band. Reported peak figures vary slightly by data source ($2.9T CoinMarketCap to ~$3.0-3.3T CoinGecko), but all are far below $10T. Window closed 2022-12-31 without occurrence.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 11)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market cap first crossed $3 trillion on ~9-10 November 2021 and that was the cycle all-time high; it never approached $10 trillion. Even the ±few-trillion band around $10T (i.e. ~$7T+) was never reached during the window.
Corrections
- tags: Total crypto market-cap claim; 'crypto' is the most-central primary tag driving per-tag sub-scores.
Effect on the score
+0.62- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Total crypto market cap reaches approximately $10 trillion…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources