Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will NOT quickly recover to $64,000 within a few weeks
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“It's highly unlikely that something like that happens.”
Bitcoin will NOT quickly recover to $64,000 within a few weeks
- Made on
- 2021-05-19
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.96
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-08-19
Bitcoin does not recover to $64,000 within roughly a few weeks of 2021-05-19 (by ~2021-08-19)
Negative claim: BTC does NOT quickly recover to $64k within ~a few weeks of 2021-05-19 (by ~2021-08-19). BTC stayed in the ~$30k–$48k range through that window and did not reclaim $64k until Oct/Nov 2021, so the no-recovery criterion holds.
Sources
Bitcoin Pep Talk
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
After the 2021-05-19 crash to ~$30,000, Bitcoin remained well below $64,000 through the summer, closing August 2021 at ~$47,167. It did not return above $64,000 until the October–November 2021 rally, long after the ~2021-08-19 (a-few-weeks) horizon.
Bitcoin closed October 2021 at ~$61,319, still just under the prior $64k peak, confirming that a return to $64k did not occur within a few weeks of 2021-05-19.
Corrections
- tags: Scoreable Bitcoin recovery call: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary; 'crypto' was absent.
Score contribution
+1.96- Confidence
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.96
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will NOT quickly recover to $64,000 within a few we…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources