Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin does not reach $300,000 within four to five months (by ~2021-10-28)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i certainly do not expect bitcoin to to go to three hundred thousand dollars within four or five months”
Bitcoin does not reach $300,000 within four to five months (by ~2021-10-28)
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.99
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-10-28
Bitcoin does not reach $300,000 at any point on or before 2021-10-28
Cleanly resolvable from public market data. BTC never exceeded ~$67-69k in 2021; $300,000 was never remotely reached by the deadline. The 'did-not-reach' claim held. resolved_on set to the deadline date since the claim is a bound satisfied across the whole window.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Path To Getting Back On Track
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest price in 2021 through the 2021-10-28 deadline was ~$67,100 (reached ~Oct 20, 2021); it never approached $300,000. The claim ('does not reach $300,000 on or before 2021-10-28') therefore held true.
BTC's full-year 2021 all-time high was ~$68,789 (Nov 10, 2021), well below $300,000 at every point in the window.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price-level claim; 'crypto' is the primary controlled tag with 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.99- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin does not reach $300,000 within four to five months…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources