Full record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA) by 2021-06-27

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

we will in fact have a death cross within the next month

Bitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA) by 2021-06-27

Made on
2021-05-27
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.91

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2021-06-21

Bitcoin's daily 50-day SMA crosses below its 200-day SMA on or before 2021-06-27

Criterion met: the daily 50-day SMA crossed below the 200-day SMA on 2021-06-21, six days before the 2021-06-27 deadline. Minor source variance (June 19 vs June 21) exists but both dates fall inside the window, so the crossing-by-deadline fact is unambiguous.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: A *Potential* Death Cross Coming (Not Certain Yet)

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin's daily 50-day moving average crossed below its 200-day moving average on June 21, 2021, triggering a death cross — within the criterion's on-or-before-2021-06-27 window.

    Evidence

  • Bitcoin 50/200-day MA chart corroborates a bearish 50/200 crossover occurring in June 2021.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • conditional condition met: Antecedent ('BTC fails to rally back to $50k-$60k and resume upward momentum') objectively occurred — BTC bottomed ~$29-30k in June 2021 and never reached the band — so the prediction is live and scored. A resolved conditional cannot leave condition_met null.
  • tags: Bitcoin moving-average death-cross is a crypto price/technical call; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary.

Effect on the score

+1.91
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2021-05-27

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