Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoBitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $100,000 and $200,000
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“i think the price of bitcoin the peak this cycle will probably be between one to two hundred thousand dollars”
Bitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $100,000 and $200,000
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's highest price during the current market cycle falls between $100,000 and $200,000
Criterion not met. The highest price during the then-current market cycle was ~$69,000 (2021-11-10), which is not between $100,000 and $200,000. By the 2023-12-31 deadline the cycle had completed (peak Nov 2021, trough ~Nov 2022, recovery to ~$42k), so the cycle-peak figure was fully determined and fell below the stated band.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Path To Getting Back On Track
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin cycle-peak price band; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.46- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $10…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources