Full record
50% rightcryptoBitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $100,000 and $200,000
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
50% rightcrypto“i think the price of bitcoin the peak this cycle will probably be between one to two hundred thousand dollars”
Bitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $100,000 and $200,000
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's highest price during the current market cycle falls between $100,000 and $200,000
Criterion not met. The highest price during the then-current market cycle was ~$69,000 (2021-11-10), which is not between $100,000 and $200,000. By the 2023-12-31 deadline the cycle had completed (peak Nov 2021, trough ~Nov 2022, recovery to ~$42k), so the cycle-peak figure was fully determined and fell below the stated band.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Path To Getting Back On Track
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin cycle-peak price band; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.46- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's cycle peak (current halving cycle) is between $10…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources