Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin consolidates/cools off for roughly three to six months, then resumes its uptrend
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“bitcoin is in a cool-off phase for a few months maybe three to six months and then it's gonna get back on track for four or six figures”
Bitcoin consolidates/cools off for roughly three to six months, then resumes its uptrend
- Made on
- 2021-05-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-11-10
Bitcoin's downtrend/sideways consolidation resolves and price resumes an uptrend within ~6 months (by 2021-11-30)
Criterion met. From the ~$29,970 low on 2021-07-21 (roughly two months after the statement), Bitcoin consolidated and resumed a clear uptrend, making a new all-time high (~$69k) on 2021-11-10 — before the 2021-11-30 deadline. The ~3–6 month cool-off-then-resume pattern was satisfied.
Sources
Bitcoin: *NOT* a 3-Year Bear Market
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
After the May 2021 selloff, Bitcoin bottomed at ~$29,970 on 2021-07-21 and consolidated, then resumed an uptrend, reaching ~$52,600 by early September 2021.
The renewed uptrend carried Bitcoin to a new all-time high of ~$69,000 on 2021-11-10 — within the ~six-month window (by 2021-11-30) set from the 2021-05-30 statement.
Corrections
- certainty verbatim marker: 'my guess' does not appear in this passage; the spoken commitment marker is 'i think that bitcoin is in a cool-off phase'.
- tags: Bitcoin-specific price/timing claim; 'crypto' is the primary controlled tag with 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin consolidates/cools off for roughly three to six mon…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources