Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoBitcoin reaches six figures (≥$100,000) before the 2024 halving
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“i do think bitcoin will go to six figures before the next having which is sometime out in 2024”
Bitcoin reaches six figures (≥$100,000) before the 2024 halving
- Made on
- 2021-05-23
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-04-20
Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at any point on or before the April 2024 halving
Criterion (BTC ≥$100,000 at any point on or before the April 2024 halving) NOT met. Pre-halving peak ~$73.8k (Mar 12 2024); $100k first reached Dec 5 2024, outside the window. Prediction failed.
Sources
Bitcoin: A Realistic Path to $100k
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The 2024 Bitcoin halving occurred April 19-20, 2024 (block 840,000; reward cut 6.25→3.125 BTC). This is the window-closing date for the criterion.
Bitcoin's highest price on or before the April 2024 halving was ~$73,800, set March 12, 2024 — the first time BTC made a new ATH before a halving, but still far below $100,000.
Bitcoin did not cross $100,000 until December 5, 2024 (~8 months AFTER the April 2024 halving), confirming it never reached six figures within the criterion window.
Corrections
- certainty verbatim marker: 'inevitable' does not appear in this statement's verbatim ('i do think bitcoin will go to six figures before the next having') — it bled in from another clip. Actual marker is the committed 'I do think ... will'.
- tags: Bitcoin price target; dictionary lists 'Bitcoin to $100k' under crypto. Scoreable record — corrects the crypto sub-score bucket, consistent with sibling BTC-price records.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches six figures (≥$100,000) before the 2024 hal…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources