Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoBitcoin reaches $100,000 (six figures) before the next halving (~April 2024)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“before the next having i think bitcoin will hit 100k okay so i do think it'll hit 100k before the next having”
Bitcoin reaches $100,000 (six figures) before the next halving (~April 2024)
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-04-19
Bitcoin's price reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any point on or before the next halving (2024-04-19)
Criterion not met. Bitcoin's highest price at any point on or before the 2024-04-19 halving was ~$73,800 (2024-03-12), below the $100,000 threshold. BTC did not first reach $100k until December 2024, after the deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-to-$100k price call; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches $100,000 (six figures) before the next halv…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources