Full record
HitmarketsConditional on Bitcoin staying relatively healthy, ADA reaches $2.00 within weeks-to-months.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I think there's a good chance that ADA will make it there in the coming weeks or months as long as bitcoin stays relatively healthy.”
Conditional on Bitcoin staying relatively healthy, ADA reaches $2.00 within weeks-to-months.
- Made on
- 2021-05-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-05-15
Conditional on BTC remaining relatively healthy, ADA reaches $2.00 within roughly weeks-to-months of 2021-05-07.
Conditional prediction: the BTC-healthy antecedent was satisfied in the near-term window, and ADA reached $2.00 within ~1-2 weeks. Criterion met. resolved_on ~2021-05-15 (approximate first crossing). Not scoring here.
Sources
Cardano: Always Challenge Your Thinking
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ADA reached $2.00 in mid-May 2021, roughly one to two weeks after the 2021-05-07 claim — squarely within the 'weeks-to-months' near-term window and well before the 2022-05-07 deadline.
Conditional antecedent (BTC remaining relatively healthy) held during mid-May 2021: BTC was still near its April 2021 ATH (~$58k-$64k range) at the time ADA first hit $2.00, before the late-May 2021 correction.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Resolution determined the antecedent (BTC relatively healthy) held during the near-term window when ADA hit $2.00; condition_met should be true, not null, to stay consistent with the resolution block.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Conditional on Bitcoin staying relatively healthy, ADA reac…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources