Prediction record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio will be around 0.04-0.05 in December 2021
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“There's a decent chance that in december of 2021 people could be very bearish about this very same ethereum bitcoin valuation, around 0.0 but maybe between .04 and 0.05.”
The ETH/BTC ratio will be around 0.04-0.05 in December 2021
- Made on
- 2021-04-21
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.79
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
The ETH/BTC ratio is in the range 0.04-0.05 during December 2021
Realized December 2021 ratio (~0.08) is roughly double the predicted 0.04–0.05 band; falls outside the criterion range. Note: this is a factual mismeasurement/miss relative to record ethbtc-not-0-1-in from the same day (both can be true simultaneously: <0.1 held, but the ~0.04–0.05 estimate was too low). Outcome value NOT assigned.
Sources
Ethereum: The Long Journey
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
During December 2021 the ETH/BTC ratio was roughly 0.078–0.087, topping 0.087089 on 2021-12-08 (its cycle peak). This is well ABOVE the predicted 0.04–0.05 range; the ratio was never in 0.04–0.05 during December 2021.
Context anchor: at the joint ATHs on 2021-11-10 (ETH ~$4,878, BTC ~$69,044) the ratio was ~0.071, and it climbed further to ~0.086 in December — confirming December values sat near 0.08, not 0.04–0.05.
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC ratio → crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
+0.79- Confidence
- 55%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.79
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio will be around 0.04-0.05 in December 2021- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources