Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoEthereum will reach close to $10,000 (five figures) during this market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“i do think it can go close to five figures i don't know if it'll quite make it but i do think that it could easily go close to five figures this market cycle”
Ethereum will reach close to $10,000 (five figures) during this market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-04-25
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-31
Ethereum trades at or above roughly $9,000 (close to five figures) at some point during this cycle
Criterion (ETH at/above ~$9,000 during this cycle) was not met. Cycle peak ~$4,878 is roughly 46% short of the ~$9,000 threshold. Outcome unambiguous.
Sources
Ethereum: Assessment of the Situation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Ethereum's cycle all-time high was ~$4,878 on November 10, 2021. This record stood until August 2025. ETH never traded at or above ~$9,000 ('close to five figures') at any point during the 2020–2021 cycle or before the 2022-12-31 deadline.
Multiple price-history sources corroborate the ~$4,878 Nov 10 2021 cycle ATH as the highest ETH price for the period, roughly half the ~$9,000 criterion.
Corrections
- tags: ETH price claim is crypto-primary per the dictionary; 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum will reach close to $10,000 (five figures) during…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources