Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will not trade below $10,000 again this market cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“But it seems like there is a decent probability that that is the last time we go below ten thousand dollars.”
Bitcoin will not trade below $10,000 again this market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-04-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
Bitcoin does not print below $10,000 at any point through end of this market cycle
Cycle low ~$15.5k stayed ~55% above the $10k floor; measurement window closed 2022-12-31 with no sub-$10k print. 'This market cycle' scoped to the record's 2022-12-31 deadline. Outcome value NOT assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: An Upcoming Cross
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's lowest print in the 2021-2022 cycle was ~$15,480 (intraday lows ~$15,480–$15,590) during the FTX collapse on 2022-11-21; it did not fall below $20,000 for the remainder of 2022. BTC never printed below $10,000 at any point through the deadline (2022-12-31). Criterion satisfied.
Corrections
- horizon deadline: Numeric price level ($10,000) with no stated/inferable temporal phrase → default price-target horizon = made_on + 36 months. 'this cycle' is not a deadline-table phrase.
- Prediction timeframe: Align basis with applied default price-target rule.
- tags: Bitcoin price-floor claim → crypto primary, markets secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not trade below $10,000 again this market cycle- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources