Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will NOT reach $310,000 by December 2021.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

โ€œif we did it would imply a 310 000 bitcoin by december which i think is a little bit too optimisticโ€

Bitcoin will NOT reach $310,000 by December 2021.

Made on
2021-04-18
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin does not reach $310,000 at any point by 2021-12-31.

Criterion 'BTC does not reach $310,000 at any point by 2021-12-31' holds: 2021 intraday high was ~$69k, so the $310k level was never reached. resolved_on set to the deadline, the point at which the 'by December 2021' window closed with the condition intact. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Non-Emergency Video!

    YouTube ยท

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest price at any point in 2021 was its Nov 10, 2021 all-time high of ~$69,000 โ€” it never approached $310,000 at any time by 2021-12-31.

    Evidence

  • BTC ended 2021 well off its high (had fallen below ~$46,000 after the November peak), nowhere near $310,000.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price level; crypto primary, markets secondary.
  • certainty verbatim marker: Confidence marker driving the NOT-reach canonicalization is stated verbatim; record it.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will NOT reach $310,000 by December 2021.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2021-04-18

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Evidence firstMethodology