Full record
MissmarketsADA trends upward over the next several years, with pullbacks along the way
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“i do expect it to trend upwards over the next several years there will be pullbacks along the way nothing's going to go up monotonically”
ADA trends upward over the next several years, with pullbacks along the way
- Made on
- 2021-04-07
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-04-07
ADA's price is net higher than its utterance-date level by the horizon deadline
Criterion ('ADA's price is net higher than its utterance-date level by the horizon deadline') is not satisfied — ADA at ~$0.44–0.60 on/around 2024-04-07 is materially below the ~$1.2–1.35 utterance level. Conclusion is robust to the exact April-7-2024 print (ADA was sub-$0.70 all through early-mid 2024, versus >$1 at utterance). Note this differs from the qualitative 'top gainer' record above: here the written criterion is a clean net-higher/lower price comparison.
Sources
Cardano Marathon
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ADA traded at roughly $1.20–$1.35 around the utterance date (2021-04-07). By the 2024-04-07 deadline ADA was well below that — trading in the ~$0.44–$0.60 range in April 2024 (month-close ~$0.44). ADA was net LOWER than its utterance-date level at the horizon deadline.
Corroborating history: ADA's $3.10 ATH (Sept 2021) was followed by the 2022 bear market and a multi-year sub-dollar stretch; ADA only closed 2024 near $0.84 after a late-2024 election-driven rally — still well after this record's April-2024 deadline.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
ADA trends upward over the next several years, with pullbac…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources