Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoCardano (ADA)'s market capitalization will reach several hundred billion dollars during this market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“Which I do think will take it, its market capitalization, to several hundred billion dollars.”
Cardano (ADA)'s market capitalization will reach several hundred billion dollars during this market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-04-25
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-31
ADA's market capitalization reaches at least ~$200 billion (several hundred billion) at some point this cycle
Criterion (ADA market cap at least ~$200B during this cycle) was not met. Peak cycle market cap ~$95–99B (price ATH $3.09 × ~32B circulating supply) is roughly half the ~$200B threshold. Derived from the well-documented ATH price and circulating supply; no source shows ADA cap approaching $200B. Outcome unambiguous.
Sources
Cardano: A Rational Perspective
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ADA's price peaked at ~$3.09 on Sept 2, 2021 with a circulating supply of ~32 billion ADA, implying a peak market cap of roughly $95–99 billion — the highest ADA market cap ever recorded in the cycle. It never reached ~$200 billion (several hundred billion).
Cardano's all-time-high price of $3.09 (Sept 2021) is the ceiling on any market-cap calculation for the cycle; with ~32B circulating supply the implied max cap (~$99B) falls well short of the ~$200B criterion.
Corrections
- tags: ADA market-cap claim is crypto-primary; 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Cardano (ADA)'s market capitalization will reach several hu…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources