Full record
25% rightmarketsTotal cryptocurrency market capitalization peaks at approximately $10 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightmarkets“the entire market cap will have a peak of approximately 10 trillion dollars in my opinion this market cycle”
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization peaks at approximately $10 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-04
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.72
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Total crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion (≥$8T allowing the stated 'plus or minus a few trillion') at some point on or before 2021-12-31.
Not met. The 2021 cycle peak total market cap was ~$3T (Nov 2021), roughly one-third of even the $8T lower bound of the '~$10T plus or minus a few trillion' criterion. CoinGecko records the same peak slightly lower (~$2.5-2.9T). Not close under any credible measurement.
Sources
Price and Market Capitalization are NOT the same thing!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market capitalization hit its 2021-cycle all-time high of ~$3 trillion in early November 2021 (first-ever crossing of $3T on ~Nov 9-10, 2021). It never reached ~$8-10 trillion at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.72- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization peaks at approxi…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-04
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources