Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoThe total crypto market capitalization will reach approximately $10 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“the entire asset class as a whole will trend to approximately 10 trillion dollars this market cycle”
The total crypto market capitalization will reach approximately $10 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-25
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.72
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Total crypto market cap reaches ≈$10T (≥$9T) at any point during the 2021 cycle window
Peak (~$3.1T) occurred Nov 10-12, 2021; window closes 2021-12-31. Total crypto market cap never reached the ≥$9T criterion threshold during the 2021 cycle. Outcome value/scoring deferred to a later stage.
Sources
Bitcoin: Testing Immediate Support
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization set its 2021-cycle all-time high of approximately $3.1 trillion on Nov 10-12, 2021 — the peak of the 2021 cycle. This is roughly one-third of the ~$9-10T target; the total market cap never approached $9T at any point in the 2021 window.
Fortune reports crypto market cap crossed $3 trillion for the first time on Nov 8-9, 2021 as Bitcoin and Ether set records — the 2021 high water mark, far below $9-10T.
Al Jazeera: cryptocurrency market value blew past $3 trillion in November 2021, the milestone peak for the cycle.
Corrections
- tags: Level bet on total crypto asset class is a crypto claim: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.72- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.72
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The total crypto market capitalization will reach approxima…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources