Full record
25% rightcryptoTotal cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion within a few years
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightcrypto“i do think the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization over the next few years will likely trend to approximately 10 trillion dollars plus or minus a few trillion”
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion within a few years
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.18
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-03-16
Total crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion at some point within ~3 years (by ~2024)
Criterion (~$10T by ~2024) was NOT met by any margin; realized peak within the window was ~$3T. Unambiguous.
Sources
Cardano Rallies on Coinbase Pro Listing
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market cap first hit ~$3 trillion in early November 2021 (Fortune, 2021-11-09) — its all-time high for the period. It never approached $10 trillion by the ~2024 deadline.
CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko total-market-cap history shows the Nov-2021 peak near $2.9-3.0T; through the 2024 window the total remained in the ~$1.5-2.9T range, roughly 3-3.5x below $10T.
Corrections
- tags: Dictionary crypto-vs-markets rule: a total-crypto-market-cap call is crypto-primary with markets secondary; primary crypto tag was missing.
Effect on the score
+1.18- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approxim…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources