Prediction record
HitcryptoEthereum does not reach $50,000 during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I don't think a 50,000 Ethereum is remotely on the cards, okay, and I have seen that number thrown around a fair bit.”
Ethereum does not reach $50,000 during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.96
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Ethereum's price stays below $50,000 (never reaches $50k) through 2021-12-31.
Criterion (ETH stays below $50,000 through 2021-12-31) held with a large margin — cycle peak $4,878 vs. $50,000 threshold. resolved_on set to the deadline when the below-threshold window closed. Unambiguous; no conflicting evidence.
Sources
Ethereum: A Realistic Price Prediction for this Market Cycle
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Ethereum's 2021-cycle all-time high was $4,878.26 (November 2021) — roughly 10x below the $50,000 threshold. ETH never approached $50k at any point through 2021-12-31.
The $4,878 November 2021 record stood as ETH's all-time high until it was finally surpassed in August 2025, confirming ETH stayed far below $50,000 through the entire 2021 cycle.
Corrections
- tags: Ethereum price-level claim is a crypto-domain prediction; 'crypto' more central and matches sibling records. Optional refinement (both valid).
Score contribution
+1.96- Confidence
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.96
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum does not reach $50,000 during the 2021 market cycle- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources